Bitcoin futures could be hurting bitcoin's price
By Oscar Williams-Grut
LONDON — A Wall Street analyst known for his
bullish stance on bitcoin has flagged the possibility that bitcoin futures
contracts could be hurting the cryptocurrency's price.
Bloomberg reports that Tom Lee, the cofounder
of the research firm Fundstrat, said in a note last week that bitcoin futures
contracts could be behind bitcoin's recent "gut-wrenching" price
declines.
Lee said in his report that there was
"significant volatility" in bitcoin's price around the expiration
date of CME Group and Cboe futures contracts.
Both CME Group and Cboe launched bitcoin
futures products in December, when bitcoin was trading close to record highs of
about $20,000. Bitcoin has tumbled since then. Bitcoin was down 0.35% against
the dollar to $6,438.56 a coin as of 8:45 a.m. BST (3:45 a.m. ET) on Monday.
Bloomberg reports that Lee wrote that traders
who are long bitcoin and short futures could sell bitcoin during the price
auction to cause the price to drop and leave their futures contracts "with
a handsome profit."
Chris Concannon, president and chief operating
officer at Cboe Global Markets, Inc. said: "While we are excited about our
recently launched Bitcoin futures, the notion that they have materially
affected the bitcoin price overstates their influence and ignores other
critical facts."
"Our strict position limits and the
limited open interest in our May and June settlements, suggest that the fall of
Bitcoin can be more easily explained by other factors such as the recent
regulatory scrutiny around the globe, steps by government tax collectors, the
rise of other cryptocurrencies, and declining media interest in the
asset," he said.
CBOE said it saw open interest at the time of
June's settlement at 1,412 contracts, which is equivalent to 1,412 bitcoin. The
bitcoin market would be unlikely to be influenced by that number of contracts.
Coinfloor, a UK-based bitcoin exchange
operator, announced plans for a physically settled bitcoin futures contract in
March. This is where holders of a contract are actually given the requisite
bitcoin when the contract expires. Cboe and CME Group give the cash value of
bitcoin at the expiration of their contracts.
Obi Nwosu, the CEO of Coinfloor, told Business
Insider last week that the physically settled futures were a response to demand
from Coinfloor's institutional clients who were concerned about the ease of
manipulation of cash-settled contracts. Any price manipulation around auctions
would be short term, and if investors take delivery of bitcoin at the
expiration of a contract, they can simply wait for the price to stabilize
before selling it.
Published in : http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-could-be-hit-by-bitcoin-futures-contracts-says-tom-lee-2018-6
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